IMF talks

THERE are indications that the government’s ongoing talks with the IMF for a bailout may be heading towards an impasse.
What is clearer is that, whether the talks stall or not, the rulers are moving towards a sharp adjustment that will require them to raise taxes and cut current expenditures, possibly necessitating a reduction in the size of government, and an effort to at least partially roll back some of its provincial transfers under the NFC award.
Steep political costs are involved, and time for making a decision is running out. The billions of dollars borrowed from ‘friendly countries’ to shore up the balance of payments might delay the decision, but there is no escaping the tough choices that lie ahead.
At the moment, it seems that the government has procured some time, thanks to the deposits from Saudi Arabia and the UAE, with word going around of further support from China. It intends to use the time to try and give a boost to exports and remittances and engineer an improvement in the external account.
But the headwinds should not be underestimated. Boosting exports through subsidy payments on gas carries a trade-off that the government may not be able to afford for much longer. And while continued depreciations of the exchange rate may produce a short-lived boost in exports, it will elevate the size of the external debt, and make imports more expensive.
In short, turning around the external sector using only tools such as the exchange rate and subsidies can be a self-defeating policy — it can never be a substitute for sound reforms.
The sense of comfort created by the billions in deposits from friendly countries, which are landing in the State Bank, must not give rise to complacency.
The government really has no other choice but to undertake a sharp adjustment in the fiscal accounts, follow up with painful reforms to stem the bleeding in the state-owned enterprises, and reduce the debt-to-GDP ratio. It must realise that there is no shortcut, and there is no easy way of doing this.
More than ever before, the urgent need for a clear policy direction is now upon us, while the government gives the appearance of still being stuck in campaign mode.
It is important that populist promises now be curtailed, and the focus shift towards addressing the growing fiscal and external imbalances in the country.
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China backs Pakistan’s efforts for Afghan peace


ISLAMABAD: China on Tuesday expressed its support for latest developments in efforts for revival of Afghan peace and reconciliation process.
Foreign Minister Shah Mehmood Qureshi is currently on a regional tour of four countries — Afghanistan, Iran, China and Russia — to apprise leaders of these countries about the meeting between the United States and the Taliban in Abu Dhabi last week, which was facilitated by Pakistan.
He met Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi at Beijing in the third leg of his visit.
“FM Shah Mehmood Qureshi, on his tour to regional countries, has held discussions with his Chinese counterpart Wang Yi. Bilateral and regional issues, especially peace in Afghanistan, were discussed,” FO spokesman Dr Mohammad Faisal said.
Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesperson Hua Chunying said that Mr Qureshi, who made “a special trip” here, in his meeting with Mr Wang discussed “the latest developments surrounding the situation in Afghanistan” and the two sides reached “broad consensus”.
Qureshi, Wang reach ‘broad consensus’ at their meeting in Beijing
She said that “miscellaneous efforts” made by different parties were “welcomed” and the two sides pledged to stay “in close communication and strategic coordination”.
China, Pakistan and Afghanistan have trilateral framework for enhancing their cooperation on peace and reconciliation, security, connectivity and in other areas.
The second meeting of the trilateral process was held in Kabul on Dec 15 in which the three sides signed a Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) for intensifying their counterterrorism cooperation.
Ms Hua further said that Mr Qureshi and Mr Wang in their meeting agreed to deepen China-Pakistan all-weather strategic cooperative partnership and continuously elevate all-round cooperation.
Mr Qureshi will meet his Russian counterpart Sergey Lavrov in Moscow on Wednesday.
The US decision to pull nearly half of its troops from restive Afghanistan was high on the agenda at the meeting between the Pakistani and Chinese foreign ministers, add agencies.
“The two sides agreed that a military means cannot solve the Afghan issue, and that promoting a political solution focused on reconciliation is the only realistic and feasible way,” the Chinese foreign ministry spokeswoman said.
President Donald Trump’s decision to pull around half of the 14,000 US troops in Afghanistan has stunned and dismayed diplomats and officials in Kabul, and comes during a renewed push for talks with the Taliban to end the 17-year war.
China has not announced an official stance on the US troop pullout, but Pakistan on Saturday welcomed the decision to slash US troop numbers calling it “a step towards peace” in war-torn Afghanistan.
In recent months, China has played a more active role in brokering peace in the region as stability in Afghanistan is critical to its Belt and Road policy of expanding trade links across Asia.
Beijing has hosted Taliban leaders in an effort to bring the warring sides in Afghanistan to the negotiating table.
It has been long worried about the effect of instability in Afghanistan on China’s violence-prone far western region of Xinjiang, home to the mostly Muslim Uighur people and where China says it faces a threat from militants.
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Outgoing year sees terrorism rear its ugly head in Karachi again


KARACHI: Although terrorism and targeted killings committed by banned sectarian outfits have been decreasing in the metropolis since 2013 because of a continuous operation by the security forces, there have been three major acts of terrorism, including the deadly attack on the Chinese consulate, during 2018 which were allegedly perpetrated by sub-nationalist groups, it emerged on Tuesday.
The city also witnessed a ‘bomb attack’ on a gathering of a political party and killing of workers of another political party, and the police apprehended that ‘political killings’ might emerge as another challenge for them in the near future.
Three policemen were also shot dead in the outgoing year, but the TTP claimed responsibility for the killing of one policeman while the two other policemen might have fallen victim to “sectarianism or revenge killing”, said police officials.
Attack on Chinese consulate
The gun-cum-grenade attack by three militants linked to the banned Balochistan Liberation Army on the Chinese consulate in Clifton was considered a major act of terrorism in 2018, which claimed the lives of two policemen and two visa applicants, father and son, before all attackers were eliminated.
Police’s Counter-Terrorism Department (CTD) officer-in-charge of the Transnational Terrorism Intelligence Group (TTIG) Raja Umar Khattab told Dawn that “significant progress” had been made in the case.
Fear of killings on political grounds heightens in Karachi
Mr Khattab, who is investigating the case, recalled that the CCTV footage obtained from outside the consulate showed that one of the attackers after being shot at and wounded by policeman posted there crawled towards the wall of nearby house.
“The attacker opened a burst on himself from his Kalashnikov after being injured apparently to avoid arrest by law enforcers who had arrived at the scene,” said the CTD official while sharing the CCTV footage.
Of the two other attackers who proceeded to the reception room of the consulate, one was killed at a “close range” as per the medical report, indicating the possibility that he also committed suicide by shooting himself to death to avoid arrest, opined Mr Khattab.
“It was a suicide mission,” added the official.
The BLA claimed responsibility even when the operation was going under way. “The attack on the Chinese consulate was RAW-inspired to target CPEC,” said the TTIG chief.
He claimed that they had “proofs” that the planning of the attack on the foreign mission was carried out abroad and funds were also provided from abroad. “We have evidences that the China consulate attackers were in contact with their masters abroad,” he said.
He also believed that the bomb attack under Quaidabad flyover, which claimed the lives of two teenage vendors, and the car ‘bomb explosion’ in Defence were also ‘foreign-inspired’ terror acts.
Mr Khattab suggested that the modus operandi and type of explosives used in the Quaidabad incident indicated the involvement of Sindhi sub-nationalist groups. “There was a link between Sindhi and Baloch sub-nationalist groups and they were being operated from abroad.”
As for the Defence explosion, he said the CCTV footage obtained from the area showed that two suspects driving a car and a motorbike arrived there and parked the car on a plot to carry out the explosion through gas cylinders. Later on, they left the place on the motorbike.
“There was a lot of resemblance in all these three terror acts,” said the official.
He recalled that around two and half years back, the Sindhi sub-nationalist group had carried out an act of terrorism near the parking plaza in Saddar in which the both attackers were killed when an improvised explosive device attached to a motorbike exploded “accidentally”.
Different teams were working on these three terror acts and Mr Khattab was hopeful that they would “eliminate” the threat posed by sub-nationalist groups in the city.
Killing of policemen
Three policemen, including a traffic police official, were shot dead in the city during 2018.
The banned Tehreek-i-Taliban Pakistan in a video claimed the responsibility for the killing of a Gulberg police official, Shakir Ali.
For the killing of another policeman, Syed Ahmed Abbas Rizvi, in New Karachi, the CTD official cited two possible motives. He might have fallen victim to “sectarianism” as being member of the Shia community. In the same area, two members of the banned Ahl-i-Sunnat Wal Jamaat were shot dead by gunmen riding a motorcycle and the policeman’s killing might have been carried out in “revenge”.
Secondly, Mr Khattab recalled that Abbas Rizvi was also a “witness” in a criminal case against two sectarian militants and he had been appearing in the case for the previous three and half years owing to which the held accused could not get bail.
The TTIG head said the killing of traffic police official Mohammad Rafiq off the Superhighway was also a terror act and they suspected the involvement of the “sleeper cell” of banned militant outfits.
Raja Umar Khattab, who has extensively investigated terror acts in the city for the last several years, said the banned TTP and AQIS had been “weakened” due to the continuous operation by the security forces while the Ansarul Sharia Pakistan had been “almost wiped out”.
In the recent past, these three militant groups openly targeted police mobiles and carried out IED explosions, but their capacity to challenge the law enforcers and carry out bomb blasts had been “significantly reduced”.
The TTP or the AQIS now make “soft target” such as a lone policeman.
However, Mr Khattab apprehended that Afghanistan-based IS, or Daesh, still posed a challenge.
“The IS prefers specific targets such as shrines in Sindh and Balochistan,” said the official.
Fear of killings on political grounds
The city also witnessed a ‘low-intensity bomb’ attack during a function organised by the MQM-P in Gulistan-i-Jauhar, which caused injuries to eight persons, and the police suspected “internal rifts” behind the incident.
Furthermore, two workers of the Pak Sarzameen Party were shot dead and two others were wounded in an attack on the party’s office in Rizvia Society on Dec 23.
Mr Khattab apprehended that “political killings” might increase in the city in the future. He said during interrogation of a suspect belonging to the ‘South Africa network’ and others recently, it had transpired that certain elements were allegedly planning “political killings” in the metropolis.
Besides, “differences” have been intensified among different groups, which might give rise to targeted killings on political grounds.
964 personnel ‘counter-terror force’ established
The CTD official said that to enhance the capacity of the police, the army had trained 964 policemen who would be made members of the ‘counter-terror force’ recently established by the Sindh CTD to fight terrorism.
Besides, the CTD has imported software to enhance its technical capability. Furthermore, the CTD has decided to set up a section for “monitoring of social media”.
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MQM-L chief, workers booked for killing two PSP workers


KARACHI: The police on Tuesday registered an FIR against the leader and workers of the Muttahida Qaumi Movement-London (MQM-L) for attacking an office of the Pak-Sarzameen Party (PSP) and killing its two workers and wounding four others, officials said.
They said the FIR [368/2018] was registered on a complaint of one of the injured PSP workers, Fahad, who accused workers of the MQM-L associated with its “South Africa and India set-up” of attacking the PSP office. The officials said that the case had been registered under sections 302 (punishment for premeditated murder) and 34 (common intention) of the Pakistan Penal Code and Section 7 of the Anti-Terrorism Act.
“The complainant has nominated Altaf Hussain, Nadeem Ahsan, Qasim Ali Raza, Faizan Yousuf and other workers of the MQM,” said an official at the Gulbahar police station. “The complainant in his request says that the workers of his party have been receiving death threats for the past few weeks and the leadership has also conveyed its concerns to the authorities. The police have already started investigation and sent the casings of spent bullets found at the crime scene for forensic examination.”
Two PSP were shot dead in the armed attack on the party’s office in Rizvia Society on Sunday night. The police said that around a dozen gunmen riding six motorcycles opened fire on the PSP town office in Usmania Colony and fled. The killed workers — Azhar Rehmat, 35, and Naeem Ramzan, 40 — were associated with the party’s organisational structure in Nazimabad.
Mustafa Kamal’s allegation
The PSP chairman has already blamed the MQM-L for killing his workers and said that the forces rejected by the people were targeting the city peace only to trigger fear and panic in Karachiites to exploit it in the name of ethnicity.
“Our workers died for the cause of peace and their blood will not go in vain,” he said. “We are the real force that has been safeguarding the city peace and if the PSP fails, political violence would return to the city because the MQM-L is still using the youth for terrorism.”
He said his party was working to promote patriotism and he hoped that the killers of his party workers would soon be arrested to avoid disappointing the people risking their lives to strengthen the country politically.
IGP visits cathedral
Meanwhile, Sindh police chief Dr Sayed Kaleem Imam with senior police officials paid a visit to the St Patrick’s Cathedral in Saddar and offered Christmas greetings to Bishop Joseph and other people of the Christian community, said a statement.
“Sindh IG Dr Imam also reviewed security arrangements,” it said. “He also vowed to provide best possible security to all minorities mainly on their religious events. Joseph and other leaders of the Christian community paid thanks to the Sindh IG for his cooperation and visit to the church.”
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